_Fluctuation in profits._--It is proper to call attention to the rapid effects of any change in market upon the profits of any enterprise. Wages are in large measure an anticipation of profits, and so far as they are affected by changes in market prices, it is largely through estimates upon averages. Custom has much to do with wages demanded and paid, but profits are fluctuating constantly with the fluctuation of prices, with every change of methods affecting competition, with every introduction of improved machinery and with every accident of fortune.
No better illustration of this fact can be given than is familiar to every farmer in comparison of results from the work of different seasons. With the same outgo for labor he may find the profits of two successive years wide apart. One year has granted the fortune of good crops with fair prices, while the other has yielded him a half crop when the prices of his product in the world are low. Possibly the improved machinery in wheat raising, applicable to the great farms of Minnesota, Dakota and California, has caused him to bring a costly product into close competition with a cheap one. Possibly, too, he has been tempted to excessive use of labor-saving machinery himself at too great cost for the transition, and it is more than probable that, stimulated by the high price of oats last year, he, with thousands of his neighbors, has made an extra crop of oats this year, to the actual destruction of the market. In all these cases the farmer himself suffers directly, while his hired hand is affected only indirectly by the unwillingness of farmers in some seasons to employ as much labor.
_Profits offset by losses._--The actual profits in any enterprise are often overestimated by our failing to notice that all the waste of unthrifty undertakings comes practically out of the profits of the more thrifty. Wage-earners as a class are protected against losses by frequent settlements and by public sentiment. The losses of the unthrifty managers come out of the accumulations of previous thrift, or else are borne by the thrifty men who have trusted them. The bulk of bad debts in failure of any enterprise is for materials, machinery, etc., furnished by other producers. In great financial depression, the profit-makers bear the evil directly, while the wage-earners feel the effects in the lessened competition for their service.