The 2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Pennsylvania. Primary elections will take place on April 23, 2024. Incumbent three-term Democratic Senator Bob Casey Jr. announced his intention to run for a fourth term on April 10, 2023.

Background

Pennsylvania is considered to be a purple state at the federal level, especially since in the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Pennsylvania by about 1.2 percentage points. Democrats currently control both U.S. Senate seats, the Governorship, a majority of its U.S. House congressional delegation, and the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. The last time Republicans won a U.S. Senate seat was in 2016.

2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

Senator Bob Casey Jr. was first elected in 2006, defeating then-incumbent senator Rick Santorum by about 17 percentage points. He was re-elected in 2012 by 9 percentage points and in 2018 by 13 percentage points.

2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

The race is considered to be favoring Casey, but analysts still consider this race to be amongst the most competitive Senate races in 2024.

2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Bob Casey Jr., incumbent U.S. Senator (2007–present) Blaine Forkner, engineer

Filed paperwork

Nicholas Del Moore

Endorsements

Fundraising

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

David McCormick, former U.S. Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs (2007–2009), former CEO of Bridgewater Associates (2020–2022), and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022

Potential

Carla Sands, former U.S. Ambassador to Denmark and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022

Declined

Kathy Barnette, political commentator, nominee for in 2020, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 Stacy Garrity, Pennsylvania State Treasurer (2021–present) (running for re-election) Doug Mastriano, state senator for SD-33 (2019–present) and nominee for Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022 (endorsed McCormick)

Endorsements

Polling

General election

Predictions

Polling

Bob Casey Jr. vs. David McCormick

Bob Casey Jr. vs. Doug Mastriano

Notes

References

External links

Official campaign websites

Bob Casey (D) for Senate

David McCormick (R) for Senate

2024

Pennsylvania

United States Senate