In this paper, we propose a maximum entropy method for predicting disease risks. It is based on a patient's medical history with diseases coded in ICD-10 which can be used in various cases. The complete algorithm with strict mathematical derivation is given. We also present experimental results on a medical dataset, demonstrating that our method performs well in predicting future disease risks and achieves an accuracy rate twice that of the traditional method. We also perform a comorbidity analysis to reveal the intrinsic relation of diseases.

Categories: cs.LG math.PR

Disease Prediction with a Maximum Entropy Method