A Bayesian nonparametric approach to the study of species diversity based on choosing a random discrete distribution as a prior model for the unknown relative abundances of species has been recently introduced in Lijoi et al. (2007, 2008). Explicit posterior predictive estimation of { \it species richness} has been obtained under priors belonging to the $\alpha$-Gibbs class (Gnedin & Pitman, 2006). Here we focus on posterior estimation of { \it species evenness} which accounts for diversity in terms of the proximity to the situation of uniform distribution of the population into different species. We focus on Simpson's index and provide a Bayesian estimator under quadratic loss function, with its variance, under some specific $\alpha-$Gibbs priors.
Categories: math.ST math.PR stat.TH